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10/6/2020

Republicans Stand Up: #GOPNewStart

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First he attacked the journalists, and we joined him--
    Because we were not journalists.
Then he attacked the liberals, and we joined him--
    Because we were not liberals.
Then he attacked the scientists, and we joined him--
    Because we were not scientists. 

He always attacked the truth, and we joined him. Journalists, liberals and scientists spoke out but were not believed. Because they were journalists, liberals and scientists.

Then he attacked me. There were plenty left — but none willing — to speak for me.

Republicans: stand up.
#GOPNewStart

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8/22/2020

COVID — U.S. Compared to World

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​Sgt Joe Friday said "Just the facts ma'am." There continues to be misinformation about COVID data, implying the U.S. does not have a problem or that it has a problem commensurate with other countries. On the surface, a country with 4% of global population and 20% of global COVID deaths shows that the U.S. at a minimum has a worse problem than many countries.  All the factual reports I've read and listened to indicate the same, as do the COVID data, and they show that the U.S. problem is substantially worse than most other major countries.

U.S. problem is not commensurate with Europe. It came up again that U.S. COVID problem is commensurate with European countries. The facts are that U.S. daily deaths from COVID is currently 10 times the EU (worse than Spain, UK, and Italy), and new daily cases is 4 times the EU.  Also, of major countries, the U.S. is either the worst regarding current COVID data or in the top 3, and combined with that U.S. is the only major country that does not offer universal healthcare (to add to the number of unisured in the country, millions are losing healthcare due to unemployment). Although Spain, UK and Italy have higher per capita deaths, the U.S. daily per capita death rate from COVID is 5 times Spain, 25 times UK, and 6 times Italy. U.S. daily deaths per capita have been increasing or remaining steady over the last month, while rates for those three comparison countries have decreased.

Global Data Snapshot. A detailed snapshot from two global data sources is attached: Worldometer (international team of developers, researchers, and volunteers), and Our World in Data (collaborative efforts between researchers at the University of Oxford and the non-profit organization Global Change Data Lab). Both show essentially the same thing, but it is very difficult to look at this type of data so I did a ranking system and put in some other relevant information: whether a country is part of EU, UK, U.S., whether it is one of the major industrial countries, and whether it's in the top 10 countries, and whether the country has universal healthcare. I filtered the results only for major countries, but you can unfilter or unhide all the details.

No Evidence of COVID Data Inflation for Political Purposes. It also came up that people are inflating COVID data for political purposes. Evidence of that would be good to have because I find none. And similar to misinformation about voter fraud, evidence for a widespread problem (not just isolated problems) is important. The fact that George Floyd tested positive for COVID does not mean the hospital listed it as a COVID death. Possibly they did, but: a) Reuters said he "tested positive for the coronavirus, his autopsy showed, but the infection was not listed as a factor in his death," and b) even if the hospital reported it as a COVID death that does not discount the body of data collected and managed by CDC, Johns Hopkins, or the two global sources above.

Agreement on COVID Facts. This is representative of the continual battle to agree on basic facts. Tor, do you agree with the facts below:
  1. The U.S. is in the top 3 worst major countries globally in terms of new daily cases and deaths per capita?
  2. The U.S. is worse than any European country and the EU as a whole in terms of new daily cases and deaths per capita?
  3. The U.S. is one of the worst major countries globally in terms of total COVID cases and deaths?


There should be no disagreement on facts, yet we spend so much time disputing facts that it clouds already challenging medical realities of COVID.  Hope you read this information.

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8/14/2020

Under Control - Trump Covid Misinformation

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Video: youtu.be/9O0R8F5q_sQ

1) Context:
a) Medical facts should be nonpartisan, but they are not. Preventable deaths should be nonpartisan, but they are not. Covid is not anyone’s fault in U.S., but presidential misinformation/attacks and a lack of federal response was political and likely contributed to tens of thousands of deaths, if not more. And will continue to do so. Couple relevant quotes follow (Item #2), plus Trump’s statements in parallel with Covid statistics below (Item #3).

b) Stats below are estimates of reduction in Covid deaths in U.S. if there were a timely federal response:
  • 40-62%, Columbia University: https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/05/21/coronavirus, https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/study-finds-earlier-coronavirus-restrictions-us-saved-36k/story?id=70808611, https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st
  • 55%: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/20/us/coronavirus-distancing-deaths.html
  • 70-99%: https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/19/faster-response-prevented-most-us-covid-19-deaths/


2) Quotes:“We are facing two big challenges: the virus and the misinformation around the virus. Some days I can’t decide which one is worse than the other. It’s a huge problem.” Dr. Ashish Jha, Harvard global health institute director.


“Well now you know what it’s like.” Medical colleagues in the Congo talking to Anne Rimoin, UCLA Epidemiologist who has spent her career dealing with infectious diseases. Regarding presidential misinformation and the credibility smearing of Dr. Fauci. 




3) Trump Statements and Covid Timeline.

Under control:
Sources: Covid data - Wikipedia (under-representation from CDC data), quotes from multiple media sources.


  • 1-22-20: “We have it totally under control. It’s one person coming in from China.” (0 dead, 0 daily deaths, 1 daily cases)
  • 1-30-20: “We have it very well under control. We have very little problem in this country at this moment.” (0 dead, 0 daily deaths, 1 daily cases)
  • 2-23-20: “We have it very much under control in this country. Very interestingly, we’ve had no death.” (0 dead, 0 daily deaths, 1 daily case)
  • 2-24-20: “The coronavirus which is, uh, very much under control in our country.”  (0 dead, 0 daily deaths, 2 daily cases)
  • 2-26-20: “It’s going to disappear.” (0 dead, 0 daily deaths, 1 daily case)
  • 2-27-20: “It’s going to disappear. One day, it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.” (0 dead, 0 daily death, 1 daily case)
  • 2-29-30: “And everything is under control. They’re very very cool. I mean they’ve done it. And they’ve done it well. Everything is under control.” (1 dead, 1 daily death, 5 daily cases)
  • 3-6-20: “You have to be calm. It will go away.” (14 dead, 3 daily deaths, 77 daily cases)
  • "I like the numbers being where they are. I don't need to have the numbers double because of one ship that wasn't our fault.” Regarding cruise ship in San Francisco with 21 people who tested positive. (31 dead, 5 daily deaths, 291 daily cases)
  • 3-10-20: “It will go away.” (31 dead, 5 daily deaths, 291 daily cases)
  • 3-15-20: “It’s something that we have, uh, tremendous control over.” (62 dead, 6 daily deaths, 676 daily cases)
  • 3-30-20: “You know it’s going away. And it will go away. And we’re going to have a great victory.” (2,986 dead, 555 daily deaths, 20,463 daily cases)
  • 3-31-30: “It’s going to go away, hopefully at the end of the month. And if not, it hopefully will be soon after that.” (3,807 dead, 521 daily deaths, 25,305 daily cases)
  • 4-7-20: “Which I’m right about. It did go aw ... it will go away.” (12,674 dead, 1,927 daily deaths, 30,512 daily cases)
  • 4-28-20: “I said it’s going away, and it is going away.” (52,518 dead, 2,204 daily deaths, 24,359 daily cases)
  • 4-29-20: “It’s gonna leave, it’s gonna be gone. It’s gonna be eradicated, and it might take longer.” (55,054 dead, 2,536 daily deaths, 26,869 daily cases)
  • 5-8-20: “This is going to go away without a vaccine.” (71,395 dead, 1,695 daily deaths, 27,095 daily cases)
  • 5-11-20: “We have prevailed.” “Coronavirus numbers are looking MUCH better, going down almost everywhere.”  (74,735 dead, 840 daily deaths, 17,777 daily cases)
  • May: “These models have been wrong since day one. They’ve been so wrong, they’ve been so out of whack.” (97,959 dead, 605 daily deaths, 21,686 daily cases). The models predicted 135,000 dead by August. It is over 165,000 dead as of mid August.
  • 6-17-20: The pandemic is “fading away. It’s going to fade away.” (110,123 dead, 742 daily deaths, 23,620 daily cases)
  • 7-2-20: “And the crisis, uh, is being handled. We are likewise getting under control.” (118,369 dead, 871 daily deaths, 54,869 daily cases)
  • 7-17-20: “ I will be right eventually. You know, I said, it’s going to disappear. I’ll say it again.” (128,146 dead, 936 daily deaths, 76,091 daily cases)
  • 7-18-20: “We have embers and we do have flames. Florida became more flame like. But uh, it’s going to be under control.”  (129,025 dead, 879 daily deaths, 65,389 daily cases)
  • 7-19-20: “This virus is going to disappear.” (129,537 dead, 512 daily deaths, 63,591 daily cases)
  • 7-21-20: “It will probably, unfortunately, get worse before it gets better.” (130,966 dead, 1,039 daily deaths, 63,496 daily cases)
  • 7-27-20: “I think it’s under control ... it is what it is ... it’s under control as much as you can control it.” (136,917 dead, 1,079 daily deaths, 54,806 daily cases)
  • 8-5-20: “My view is the schools should open. This thing’s going away. It will go away like things go away.” (146,831 dead, 1,328 daily deaths, 51,884 daily cases)
  • Mid August (CDC): 165,000 deaths, 1,500 daily deaths, 56,000 daily cases.

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8/8/2020

“They Should:” A Non-Partisan Plea against Trumpism

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​When things are great, why say best ever? When things are good, why say great? When things are bad, why say good? When things are, why say they are not? Most troubling — when things are not at all, why say they are? And why claim fake news for inconvenient facts; why conduct immature and demeaning character attacks against anyone who identifies these falsehoods or opposes a viewpoint?

The greatest disservice is not the “one” who does it, it’s the “all” who support it. Supporters use partisan ends to rationalize unjustifiable means. Conservatives — politicians, pundits, and citizens alike — can stop this behavior while still staying true to their political party; JUST STAND UP AND SAY “NO!” Some do, but most give strength to hyper partisanship and to a compulsive-lying extreme narcissist by passively and actively enabling this atmosphere. Even religious people discard their “what would Jesus do” ideals, sitting idly by with self-soothing rationale that the president is an imperfect vessel. Excuses abound; well HE did it first, she’s JUST as bad, OTHER politicians lie — but that’s a childlike approach to an adult problem.

Yes they’re “winning,” but winning this way means we’re all losing. Conservatives should stand up and challenge this president even at the expense of their own party gains; that’s what integrity is. They should support truth over falsehoods, honor over personal attacks, greater good over personal insecurity and narcissism — even at the expense of partisan advantage. They should have integrity.

Some have, I would, they should.

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1/8/2020

Trump Arsonist/Firefighter: Fixing Problems he Created

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Trump creates a problem, withdraws from that problem, then claims he solved a problem. Manufacture a crisis, promote tentative adjustments as a major victory, bemoan media coverage, rinse and repeat.


Fiction: “I alone can fix this.” Trump, 2016 campaign. Fact: he breaks it, restores it to where it was before he broke it, then claims victory for fixing it.


Examples:
  • 1-8-20. Firefighter: declares victory against Iran and opts not to retaliate with further military action. "He prevented a massive war.” (Sean Hannity). Arsonist: directed assassination of top Iranian military person, creating upheaval in Mideast.
  • October 2019. withdrew abruptly from northern Syria. Turkey invasion started immediately. Now pressuring via sanctions. If successful, will claim solved problem that he created.
  • 6-24-19. Firefighter: saves lives of 150 Iranians potentially by calling off air strike minutes before planned time. Arsonist: directs air strike on Iran.
  • 6-9-19. Firefighter: rescinds threat to impose increasing tariffs on Mexican goods. Arsonist: randomly stated would impose tariffs unless Mexico fixed their border issues, says he reached deal with Mexico, no more tariffs. 
  • 4-9-19. Firefighter: Said Obama is the one with child separation policy at border, but “I’m the one that stopped it.” Arsonist: Obama rarely did child separation and only in specific instances; Trump implemented zero tolerance policy to separate in all instances. That was fixed by the courts by overturning the Trump policy. 
  • 3-28-19. Firefighter: Claimed in Michigan rally that he is going to secure $300 million for the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative. Arsonist: $300 million annual funding has been available since Obama administration until Trump removed it. 
  • 3-28-19. Firefighter: Trump restored $18 million of annual funding for the Special Olympics after public outcry. Arsonist: Trump’s Secretary of Education removed the funding in the current budget.
  • July 2018. Firefighter: Trump approved a $12 billion aid package to help U.S. farmers. Arsonist: farmers lost $11 billion from Trump’s tariffs.
  • July 2018. Firefighter: Government reunites 1,200 migrant children immigrant families at the border. Arsonist: these children were separated by Trump’s zero tolerance policy, which was overturned with a court order to reunite the families. This is only a third of the children who were separated.

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11/15/2016

Things that would’ve killed a normal campaign

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Campaign, 2016


$160M spent on negative ads, $17M on positive ads


Things Trump survived that would've killed any other campaign (comparison point - Howard Dean withdrew after saying "hee-aawww!!" excitedly):


- Said Mexicans are sending their rapists across border
- referred to Megan Kelly's menstrual bleeding
- Assured voters about his penis size (we didn't request this assurance)
- Said John McCain is not a war hero because he was captured
- implied an opponent's father might be part of JFK assassination
- said he could pull out a gun on 5th Avenue, shoot someone, and still be popular
- the Access Hollywood video referring to pussy grabbing and and "mov[ing] on her like a bitch"
- Multiple allegations of sexual assault
- Mocked a disabled reporter
- Threatened to ban all Muslim immigrants
- Offered to pay legal fees for supporters to beat up protesters
- referred to beating up protesters himself (verify)
- Threatened to kill families of terrorist suspects
- Said women who have abortions should suffer some kind of punishment
- admitted paying no taxes while not providing tax returns as part of election process
- said he would imprison his campaign opponent
- asked a foreign enemy nation to hack opponent's emails
- said a judge can't be objective in a case involving a Trump policy position because he's from Mexico (perhaps "Mexico" is the name of the Indiana town where he was born)
- tweeted unflattering photo of opponent's wife compared to photo of his own wife (former model)
- accused opponents of being ugly and overweight
- proved he was showing restraint by not criticizing an opponent's looks ("and believe me, there's plenty of material there")
- tweeted that Bush has to like Mexican illegals because of his wife
- ejected Jorge Ramos from Iowa press conference telling him to sit down and go back to Univision
- said he "bought" Hillary Clinton with campaign contributions in the past
-  said a female attorney was "disgusting" for breastfeeding 
- promoted "traditional marriage" while being married multiple times (similar to many others)
- said people wouldn't be able to look at Carlene Fiorina's face for a whole presidency
- said he saw a video of thousands of muslims celebrating 9-11 in New Jersey


False Promises:
- said Mexico would pay for border wall, without speaking with Mexico or providing a plan for how this would happen


People who suffered consequences for Trump affiliations while Trump remained unscathed:
- Billy Bush


Post-election list:
- Tweeted about a news personality's facelift bleeding (Mika B from Morning Joe)

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11/2/2016

Break the Chains: ugly Politics (Access Hollywood)

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Editorial, 11-2-16​

I’m an avid and frustrated follower of U.S. politics with one hope at the outset of every campaign – keep positive and substantive so we can focus on real political issues and solutions. Instead the media and public fixate continually on character flaws and avoid relevant and important political issues.


I was truly saddened when the Access Hollywood video surfaced as I knew the cavalcade of negativity that would result. Predictably, it became a story of enormous proportions, as did a single-page letter from the FBI talking vaguely about unseen emails. I don’t support the candidates’ character flaws, but we shouldn’t base our political discourse on endless speculation of salacious side stories. The extended campaign season hit epic lows long ago. But these stories hit me hard and felt like early memories of watching the TV commercial of a Native American shedding a tear while watching people littering on his homeland. The pathetic thing is that time and again we are the ones watching ourselves degrade our own electoral process with negative campaigning. The massive imbalance of media attention on superficiality over substance is proof of this – it’s saddening and maddening. 


We should focus on relevant political issues, and journalists should do their jobs and force candidates to answer difficult policy questions. Our Electoral Buggy is chained to runaway gossip horses on the left and the right that are tearing the system apart. Let’s break the chains, keep sordid details for political humorists, and focus on the road ahead.

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10/4/2016

Coming Out - a Republican’s journey from the G.O.P.

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Started out a Republican but didn't read the fine print. Didn't even SEE the fine print. Below is what made me conservative (until I read a bit further into The Agreement):


- keep taxes low (but make taxes for wealthy nonexistent)
- maintain strong DEFENSE (but use it for strong OFFENSE in unnecessary conflicts)
- champion world peace (but only through military intervention and not through global organizations/initiatives)
- freedom of speech is sacred (unless doing peaceful protest during the anthem, burning a flag, or protesting military conflicts)
- freedom from religion (but promote Christian-based legislation and prayer in schools)
- promote personal freedom (except when choosing same sex partnerships)
- enhance efficiency in government (but ban controversial words in health and environmental agencies such as “fetus” and “climate change”) 
- encourage freedom of the press (but ban and criticize journalists reporting real facts that constitute "Fake News")
- promote transparency in politics (by calling press “enemy of the people”)
- revere patriotism (only in form of lapel flag pins, flamboyant "America is Great" speech, and condemnations of social protests)
- honor veterans (except those who protest war)
- promote independent political expression (except at presidential campaign rallies)
- decry abortion (except when your mistress is pregnant)
- empower lower class success (by providing cups to catch trickle-down economic droplets)
- empower democracy worldwide (but not in U.S. where we promote gerrymandered districts, lack of term limits, unlimited financial influence, restricted voting rights, and no popular vote for president)
- allow racial equality (but challenge citizenship of non-caucasian candidates)
- care for our citizens (not medically, just "care" for them)
- preserve all life (even the elderly or terminally pained/ill people who want a legal way to die peacefully)
- be tough on crime (but fight the most rudimentary controls on gun ownership)
- respectfully mourn mass shooting victims (by saying "too soon" for gun control debate, then repeating statement after next mass shooting)
- promote family values (by espousing fidelity while rotating through mistresses and multiple marriages)
- science is good (except climate change science with 97% consensus)
- preserve the environment (by withdrawing from international climate agreements, promoting antiquated energy concepts, and rolling back environmental standards)
- promote politically independent thinking (through use of loyalty pledges)
- revere the constitution (by caressing your personal copy while blocking a supreme court nomination for a year until a new president is elected)

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